BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 1 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength = 187.74
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Home W 192.03 52 0 1A 100 ( 7- 7) Akron 6.59 * 45.41
2 09/09/2017 Home W 175.22 33 14 1A 51 ( 5- 7) Pittsburgh -10.22 29.22
3 09/16/2017 Home W 189.97 56 0 1A 114 ( 7- 5) Georgia St 4.53 * 51.47
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 177.01 21 19 1A 14 ( 8- 5) Iowa -8.43 10.43
5 09/30/2017 Home W * 189.67 45 14 1A 44 ( 5- 7) Indiana 4.23 26.77
6 10/07/2017 Away W * 195.19 31 7 1A 26 ( 10- 3) Northwestern 9.75 14.25
7 10/21/2017 Home W * 195.00 42 13 1A 24 ( 8- 5) Michigan 9.56 19.44
8 10/28/2017 Away L * 186.24 38 39 1A 2 ( 12- 2) Ohio State 0.80 -1.80
9 11/04/2017 Away L * 167.42 24 27 1A 25 ( 10- 3) Michigan St -18.02 15.02
10 11/11/2017 Home W * 175.80 35 6 1A 86 ( 4- 8) Rutgers -9.64 * 38.64
11 11/18/2017 Home W * 163.29 56 44 1A 74 ( 4- 8) Nebraska -22.15 * 34.15
12 11/25/2017 Away W * 218.62 66 3 1A 64 ( 4- 8) Maryland 33.18 29.82
13 12/30/2017 Neutral W 185.26 35 28 1A 9 ( 10- 3) Washington -0.19 7.19
Averages 185.44 41.1 16.5
Best game: 218.62 = 63 point win over Maryland
Worst game: 163.29 = 12 point win over Nebraska
Team stdev: 14.30